AUD/NZD SURGES ABOVE1.0750 AFTER THE UPBEAT AUSTRALIAN JOBS NUMBER

avatar
· 阅读量 139


AUD/NZD is up around 0.50% following the release of February's Australian Employment Change data. The jobs number exceeded expectations, with Employment Change at 64.6K vs. 48.5K expected, from a prior -11.5K. The Unemployment rate also ticked down to 3.5% from the previous 3.7%. Full-time employment saw a significant surge to 74.9K from the previous -43.3K. 

The positive jobs numbers, coming after two downbeat readings in December and January, will likely encourage the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to implement an additional 25 basis points (bps) rate hike in their next meeting, despite signaling a pause thereafter.

In contrast, the New Zealand Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for the fourth quarter of 2022came in worse than expected, with the quarterly reading at -0.6% vs. -0.2% from the previous 2% and the yearly reading at 2.2% vs. 3.3%, from the prior 6.4%. 

The economic contraction was driven by flat consumption, a decline in real national gross disposable income, and muted investment in the industrial sectors. It's important to note that this figure, representing Q4 2022, does not include the economic impact of cyclone Gabrielle.

This growth data may prompt the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) to reconsider its hawkish stance during the next RBNZ meeting scheduled on April 5th. Despite many market forecasters anticipating a 25 bps rate hike from the RBNZ in April, the upside bias for AUD/NZD remains intact as economic data continues to diverge for both economies.

风险提示:本文所述仅代表作者个人观点,不代表 Followme 的官方立场。Followme 不对内容的准确性、完整性或可靠性作出任何保证,对于基于该内容所采取的任何行为,不承担任何责任,除非另有书面明确说明。

喜欢的话,赞赏支持一下
avatar
回复 0

加载失败()

  • tradingContest