USD/CHF: THE INSTRUMENT IS RECOVERING FROM "BEARISH" DYNAMICS

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USD/CHF: THE INSTRUMENT IS RECOVERING FROM BEARISH DYNAMICS
Scenario
TimeframeIntraday
RecommendationSELL STOP
Entry Point0.8900
Take Profit0.8800
Stop Loss0.8950
Key Levels0.8826, 0.8850, 0.8875, 0.8900, 0.8950, 0.9000, 0.9036, 0.9100
Alternative scenario
RecommendationBUY STOP
Entry Point0.8950
Take Profit0.9036
Stop Loss0.8900
Key Levels0.8826, 0.8850, 0.8875, 0.8900, 0.8950, 0.9000, 0.9036, 0.9100

Current trend

The USD/CHF pair is showing weak growth, recovering from Monday's mostly "bearish" dynamics. The instrument is testing 0.8915 for a breakout, but activity in the market remains low.

The US dollar remains under pressure as investors prefer to wait for the release of US inflation statistics on Wednesday. Markets expect to record a rise in consumer prices from 0.2% to 0.6%, which will be another signal in favor of a possible interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve later this year. In addition, on Thursday, data will be presented on Producer Price Indices, as well as on Retail Sales volumes for August, forecasts for which suggest a sharp slowdown in the indicator from 0.7% to 0.2%.

In turn, August statistics on producer and import price indices will be published in Switzerland on Thursday, recording changes in the price level for goods, components and raw materials on the wholesale market. In the previous month, producer inflation slowed by 0.1% on a monthly basis and 0.6% on an annual basis.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart show moderate growth. The price range expands from above, freeing a path to new local highs for the "bulls". MACD is reversing downwards trying to form a new sell signal (trying to consolidate below the signal line). Stochastic shows similar dynamics, leaving the overbought area with a fairly strong sell signal. The indicator readings signal in favor of the development of a "bearish" correction in the near future.

Resistance levels: 0.8950, 0.9000, 0.9036, 0.9100.

Support levels: 0.8900, 0.8875, 0.8850, 0.8826.

USD/CHF: THE INSTRUMENT IS RECOVERING FROM BEARISH DYNAMICS

USD/CHF: THE INSTRUMENT IS RECOVERING FROM BEARISH DYNAMICS

 

Trading tips

Short positions may be opened after a breakdown of 0.8900 with the target at 0.8800. Stop-loss — 0.8950. Implementation time: 2-3 days.

A rebound from 0.8900 as from support followed by a breakout of 0.8950 may become a signal for opening new long positions with the target at 0.9036. Stop-loss — 0.8900.

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