Daily digest market movers: Gold eyes all-time highs on multiple tailwinds

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  • Gold price rises further to near $2,470 in Friday’s European session. The precious metal aims to recapture all-time highs above $2,480 as the US bond yields and the US Dollar (USD) have weakened.
  • 10-year US Treasury yields post a fresh six-month low near 3.95%, as speculation for the Federal Reserve to begin reducing interest rates in September appears to be certain. Lower yields on interest-bearing assets reduce the opportunity cost of holding an investment in non-yielding assets, such as Gold. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, edges lower to near 104.25.
  • The expectations for the Fed to pivot to policy normalization in September were prompted after Fed Chair Jerome Powell delivered a dovish guidance on interest rates. On Wednesday, the Fed left interest rates steady in the range of 5.25%-5.50% but said that rate cuts would be on the table in September if inflation declines more or less in line with expectations, growth remains reasonably strong, and the labor market remains consistent with current conditions.
  • Also, weak United States (US) ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for July, the highest Initial Jobless Claims in 11 months for the week ending July 26, and lower preliminary Q2 Unit Labor Costs have spurted upside risks to a slowdown in the economy and labor demand.

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