EUR/USD briefly printed above 1.10 on Monday on the back of the huge Fed easing repricing. As mentioned above, the dollar may recover a bit more ground today, ING’s FX strategist Francesco Pesole notes.

EUR/USD to trade above 1.10 in short term

“EUR/USD briefly printed above 1.10 yesterday on the back of the huge Fed easing repricing. As mentioned above, the dollar may recover a bit more ground today, and we could see EUR/USD slip back to the 1.090 mark.”

“The 2-year EUR:USD swap rate differential is now -100bp after having touched -71bp yesterday. This is huge volatility, but also follows a tightening trend in the spread that started in April (when it was at -160bp). Our short-term models indicate EUR/USD should be trading above 1.10 even if that spread rewidens by another 20bp in favour of the dollar.