Daily digest market movers: USD gains from strong Initial Jobless Claims surrounding wait-and-see sentiment

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  • On the data front, US citizens applying for unemployment insurance benefits rose by 233K, below the initial consensus of 240K and lower than the previous week's gains of 250K (revised from 249K).
  • Market sentiment dipped after the weak 10-year US Treasury auction on Thursday morning, affecting global equity markets today. Despite a moderately dovish BOJ summary, markets are still cautious.
  • Volatility across all markets is expected to remain high into next week when top-tier US data should provide a clearer picture of the US economy.
  • The market is still pricing in 100 bps of easing by year-end, with a 40% chance that an additional 25 bps will be added. The first cut in September is expected to be around 50 bps

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