Gold skyrockets to record-high above $2,600 on Fed rate cut speculation

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  • Gold surges to new all-time highs above $2,600, fueled by expectations of further Fed rate cuts.
  • Safe-haven demand spikes due to escalating tensions between Israel and Hezbollah concurrently.
  • Fed Governor Waller backs the 50-bps rate cut; however, dissenting Fed member Michelle Bowman prefers a smaller cut to guard against declaring an early win on inflation.

Gold prices climbed past $2,600, recording new all-time highs amid increasing speculation that the Federal Reserve will continue to lower borrowing costs and heightened tensions between Israel and Hezbollah in the Middle East. The XAU/USD trades at $2,621, up 1.37%.

Risk aversion is the game's name, as portrayed by Wall Street’s three leading indices, posting losses between 0.26% and 0.31%. Fed Governor Christopher Waller crossed the wires and stated that cutting 50 basis points was appropriate, citing expectations that the August Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index would be very low.

Waller added that inflation is softening more rapidly than anticipated, which is concerning. He also noted that the Fed could take further action if the labor market deteriorates, or inflation data soften quickly.

Meanwhile, correlations are not playing a huge role, as US Treasury yields rise with Gold prices and the Greenback. The US 10-year Treasury note yields 3.726%, up by one and a half basis points. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the American currency’s value against the other six, advanced some 0.08% to 100.71.

A scarce economic schedule in the US left Gold’s direction on the shoulders of additional Fed speakers. Michelle Bowman dissented to lower cuts by 50 bps. Although it was appropriate to adjust the policy, she preferred a smaller cut, as risks on the decision could be interpreted as a “declaration of victory on inflation.”



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