• EUR/USD recovers mildly while the US Dollar’s rally stalls as the US CPI comes under the spotlight.
• The Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 25 bps in November.
• A majority of ECB policymakers are open to more rate cuts.

EUR/USD rises to near the psychological resistance of 1.1000 in Tuesday’s European session. The major currency pair recovers mildly as the US Dollar (USD) faces a slight correction, with investors shifting focus to the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for September, which will be published on Thursday.

The inflation data is expected to show that the annual core CPI – which excludes volatile food and energy prices – has grown at a steady pace of 3.2% year-over-year (YoY). The headline inflation is estimated to have decelerated to 2.3% YoY from 2.5% in August.

The impact of the inflation data is expected to be lower on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate outlook as policymakers are more focused on reviving economic growth and consumer spending. The comments from Fed Governor Adriana Kugler in Tuesday’s European session suggested that the policymaker sees more rate cuts as appropriate if price pressures continue to decline as expected.

Meanwhile, financial market participants expect the Fed to cut interest rates again in November, but the rate-cut size is expected to be 25 basis points (bps), according to the CME FedWatch tool. Lately, market speculation for a Fed 50 bps rate cut waned after the US job report for September, which showed that labor demand remained robust and wage growth was stronger than expected.