Daily Digest Market Movers: Gold price is pressured by modest USD strength, downside potential seems limited

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  • The US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the headline Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand rose 1.8% and the core gauge climbed 2.8% on a yearly basis in September.
  • The readings were slightly higher than consensus estimates, though pointed to a deceleration in price rise, which should allow the Federal Reserve to continue cutting interest rates.
  • According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, the markets are currently pricing in over a 90% chance that the Fed will lower borrowing costs by 25 basis points in November. 
  • The yield on the benchmark 10-year US Government bond, however, holds steady above the 4% threshold amid diminishing odds for a more aggressive policy easing by the Fed.
  • This, in turn, assists the US Dollar to stand tall near a two-month peak and turns out to be a key factor that prompts fresh selling around the Gold price on the first day of a new week. 
  • Government data released over the weekend showed that China's headline Consumer Price Index was flat in September and the yearly rate stood at 0.4%, missing market expectations. 
  • This, along with the lack of numerical details for China's fiscal stimulus and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, should offer support to the safe-haven precious metal.
  • The US market is closed on Monday for the Columbus Day holiday, leaving the XAU/USD at the mercy of the USD price dynamics and fresh geopolitical developments. 


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