AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR APPRECIATES DUE TO A HAWKISH MOOD SURROUNDING THE RBA POLICY OUTLOOK

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  • The Australian Dollar rises as the RBA intends to maintain a restrictive monetary policy.
  • The RBA Meeting Minutes indicated that the board remains vigilant about the potential for further inflation.
  • The US Dollar may appreciate due to cautious remarks from Fed officials.

The Australian Dollar (AUD) retraces its recent losses on Thursday, buoyed by a hawkish outlook from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) concerning interest rates. Despite this, the AUD/USD pair could still face downward pressure as the US Dollar (USD) might strengthen due to safe-haven flows amid the escalating Russia-Ukraine conflict.

The Reserve Bank of Australia's November Meeting Minutes indicated that the central bank’s board remains vigilant about the potential for further inflation, stressing the importance of maintaining a restrictive monetary policy. Although board members noted no "immediate need" to alter the cash rate, they kept options open for future adjustments, emphasizing that all possibilities remain on the table.

The downside risk for the US Dollar may be constrained due to the cautious remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials. Additionally, market expectations suggest that the incoming Donald Trump administration will spur inflation, thereby slowing the rate cut trajectory from the Fed, lending support to the Greenback.



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