• GBP/USD declines following a surge in UK inflation, raising prospects of a less accommodative Bank of England.
• Technicals indicate bearish momentum with the pair now targeting further support levels, including the May low of 1.2445.
• RSI trends toward oversold territory, suggesting continued downward pressure in the near term.

The Pound Sterling lost ground versus the US Dollar on Wednesday following a hot UK inflation report, which increased the chances that the Bank of England (BoE) would pause its easing cycle. The GBP/USD trades at 1.2643, down 0.30% after hitting a high of 1.2714.

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

After diving below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), the GBP/USD turned bearish, carving successive series of lower highs and lower lows and clearing intermediate support at 1.2664, the August 8 daily low. If sellers push the exchange rate below 1.2600, this will exacerbate a drop toward the May 9 swing low of 1.2445, ahead of the yearly low of 1.2299.

Conversely, if GBP/USD rises above 1.2700, this could pave the way for challenging the 200-day SMA at 1.2818. Once cleared, the next stop would be November’s 6 low turned resistance at 1.2833, ahead of 1.2850 and 1.2900.