The Fed is getting closer to another rate cut as signs of a slowdown start flashing across the U.S. economy. Job growth is losing momentum, inflation is still sticky, and liquidity pressure in the banking system is starting to build up again. Traders are now betting the Fed will step in soon — and that could shake the market hard.
Jerome Powell has hinted that the job market is cooling faster than expected. That’s raising fears of a possible economic soft patch, even while inflation refuses to fully calm down. It’s a tricky balance — the Fed doesn’t want to crush growth, but it also can’t ignore price pressure.
Because of that, many traders expect another quarter-point rate cut in the upcoming meeting. If that happens, the U.S. dollar could easily lose some steam while risk-on assets like gold, stocks, and high-beta currencies may take off again.
At the same time, the Fed might hit pause on its balance-sheet tightening — basically adding more liquidity into the system. That’s another signal pointing toward easier conditions ahead, which could boost market volatility and make short-term trading even more attractive.
Jerome Powell has hinted that the job market is cooling faster than expected. That’s raising fears of a possible economic soft patch, even while inflation refuses to fully calm down. It’s a tricky balance — the Fed doesn’t want to crush growth, but it also can’t ignore price pressure.
Because of that, many traders expect another quarter-point rate cut in the upcoming meeting. If that happens, the U.S. dollar could easily lose some steam while risk-on assets like gold, stocks, and high-beta currencies may take off again.
At the same time, the Fed might hit pause on its balance-sheet tightening — basically adding more liquidity into the system. That’s another signal pointing toward easier conditions ahead, which could boost market volatility and make short-term trading even more attractive.
The Fed is walking a tightrope between fighting inflation and saving growth. For traders, this is the moment to stay sharp — rate cuts, liquidity shifts, and mixed data mean big intraday swings are coming. Watch the USD pairs closely… because the next Fed move could decide the trend for weeks to come.
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