The OECD projects global economic growth to slow to 3.2% in 2025 and 2.9% in 2026, down from 3.3% in 2024, as higher US tariffs weigh on trade and investment. However, the 2025 forecast is 0.3 percentage points higher than the OECD’s June projection, reflecting stronger-than-expected resilience in the first half of the year. Growth in the US is expected at 1.8% in 2025 and 1.5% in 2026, impacted by tariffs, moderating net immigration and reductions in the federal workforce. China’s growth is seen easing to 4.9% in 2025 and 4.4% in 2026 as front-loaded activity unwinds, tariffs take effect, and fiscal support fades. The Euro Area is projected to expand 1.2% in 2025 and 1.1% in 2026 amid trade frictions and geopolitical uncertainty. The UK is expected to grow 1.4% and 1.0%, while Japan is forecast at 1.1% and 0.5% over the same period. Meanwhile, global inflation is expected to ease to 3.4% in 2025 and 2.9% in 2026, although inflationary pressures could resurface.
作者：Joana Ferreira，文章来源tradingeconomics，版权归原作者所有，如有侵权请联系本人删除。
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