Philippine Central Bank Cuts Rate in Surprise Move

The Central Bank of the Philippines cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 bps to 4.75% during its October 2025 meeting, defying market expectations of a hold at 5%. This move brought the rate to its lowest level since October 2022, as the central bank cited a benign inflation outlook, with price growth well within the official target range and inflation expectations remaining firmly anchored. However, potential electricity rate adjustments and tariff hikes on rice imports could add upward pressure on prices. Meanwhile, the Monetary Board highlighted a weakening domestic growth outlook, partly due to dampened business sentiment stemming from concerns over governance and the implementation of public infrastructure projects. Additionally, signs of softening demand reflect persistent uncertainties in the external environment. The central bank’s overnight deposit and lending facility rates were also lowered to 4.25% and 5.25%, respectively.