Serbia Q4 GDP Growth Confirmed at 1-Year High

The Serbian economy advanced by 2.2% year-on-year in the final quarter of 2025, confirming preliminary estimates and accelerating from a 2% growth in the previous three-month period. The latest figure also marked the strongest growth for the year, driven by faster increases in household expenditure (3.7% vs 3.5% in Q3) and government spending (4.2% vs 3.8%). Additionally, gross fixed capital formation rebounded sharply (8.9% vs -2.2%). Meanwhile, net external demand contributed negatively to the GDP, with imports (7.6% vs 4.8%) rising more than exports (5.3% vs 4.2%). On the production side, the construction sector (10.6% vs -12.2%) posted the most notable output increase, followed by professional, scientific and technical activities (5.3% vs 4.2%), and arts, entertainment and recreation (5.2% vs 5.4%). On a seasonally adjusted quarterly basis, the economy expanded by 1% in the fourth quarter, following a 0.7% growth in the preceding period.