The Gold speculator’...来自InvestMacro

02 Oct 2022, 21:53 · 阅读量 424

The Gold speculator’s futures position comes in as the most bearish extreme standing this week. The Gold speculator level is at a 0 percent score of its 3-year range as the speculator net position fell to a total of 52,081 net contracts this week, marking a multi-year low. #Gold# has fallen around 20% since March.

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3-Year Strength Scores led by Mexican Peso & British Pound COT Strength Scores (a normalized measure of Speculator positions over a 3-Year range, from 0 to 100 where above 80 is Extreme-Bullish and below 20 is Extreme-Bearish) showed that the Mexican Peso (100 percent) and the British Pound (82 percent) lead the currency markets this week. Bitcoin (69 percent) comes in as the next highest in the weekly strength scores. On the downside, the Swiss Franc (0 percent), the Japanese Yen (0 percent), the US Dollar Index (1 percent), the Australian Dollar (4 percent) and the Canadian Dollar (16 percent) come in at the lowest strength levels currently and are all in Extreme-Bearish territory (below 20 percent). Strength Statistics: US Dollar Index (0.9 percent) vs US Dollar Index previous week (3.5 percent) EuroFX (27.5 percent) vs EuroFX previous week (33.6 percent) British Pound Sterling (82.1 percent) vs British Pound Sterling previous week (76.6 percent) Japanese Yen (0.0 percent) vs Japanese Yen previous week (11.5 percent) Swiss Franc (0.0 percent) vs Swiss Franc previous week (1.1 percent) Canadian Dollar (16.1 percent) vs Canadian Dollar previous week (16.9 percent) Australian Dollar (4.4 percent) vs Australian Dollar previous week (1.9 percent) New Zealand Dollar (39.0 percent) vs New Zealand Dollar previous week (43.3 percent) Mexican Peso (100.0 percent) vs Mexican Peso previous week (99.2 percent) Brazilian Real (30.3 percent) vs Brazilian Real previous week (45.8 percent) Bitcoin (68.8 percent) vs Bitcoin previous week (50.2 percent)

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The Silver Comex Futures large speculator standing this week was a net position of 60,431 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly reduction of -5,924 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 66,355 net contracts. This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 92.5 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 3.5 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 76.1 percent. Price Trend-Following Model: Strong Uptrend Our weekly trend-following model classifies the current market price position as: Strong Uptrend.

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The Silver speculator position comes in as the most bullish extreme standing this week. The Silver speculator level is currently at a 100.0 percent score of its 3-year range.

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This Week’s Most Bearish Speculator Positions:

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The Gold Comex Futures large speculator standing this week was a net position of 278,653 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decrease of -17,551 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 296,204 net contracts. This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 86.0 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 13.0 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 61.2 percent. Price Trend-Following Model: Uptrend Our weekly trend-following model classifies the current market price position as: Uptrend.

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