🌅 Morning Update (04.12.2024)
📉 South Korea in focus:
Markets plunge as President Yoon Suk-Yeol's brief martial law declaration triggers political crisis.
🛑 KOSPI: Down 2% as opposition readies impeachment bill.
💱 Korean Won: Stabilises after hitting a 2-year low, likely due to central bank intervention.
📊 Asian markets:
📉 Nikkei: -0.4%
📉 CSI 300: -0.3%
📈 Thailand SET: +1.3% on rate-cut optimism.
📉 Australian stocks: -0.5% after weaker-than-expected GDP data.
🇦🇺 Australian economy:
Q3 GDP: +0.8% YoY (vs 1.1% forecast).
💵 AUD/USD: Drops 1% to a 4-month low.
🔮 RBA rate cut predictions: ANZ/Westpac expect May 2025; Capital Economics forecasts Q2 easing.
🇨🇳 China:
📉 Services PMI: Slips to 51.5 in November (from 52.0).
🚀 Chip stocks rally after government discourages US chip purchases.
🇹🇭 Thailand:
CPI: +0.95% YoY in November (below 1.1% forecast).
💡 Finance Minister: Signals potential rate cut amid subdued inflation.
🇮🇳 India:
💪 Services PMI: Strong at 58.4 in November despite rising prices.
🏢 Record hiring pace with solid business sentiment.
🎤 All eyes on Fed Chair Powell's speech:
Markets await hints on rate outlook.
📈 US Dollar Index: +0.1%, extending its streak.
📈 Commodities:
🪙 Gold: Up to $2,646 on South Korea tensions and Middle East conflict concerns.
🛢️ Copper: -0.3% to $9,096/ton.
💎 Rare earth stocks: Surge as China bans gallium and germanium exports to the US.
Australia's Lynas: +6%
Iluka Resources: +4%
📢 South Korea steps in:
Finance ministry pledges "unlimited" liquidity support. Bank of Korea announces special repo ops and looser collateral policies.
🔑 Key events ahead:
Fed Chair Powell's speech 🗣️
PMI data for France, Germany, UK, eurozone 📊
French no-confidence vote 🗳️
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