📊 Macro Drivers for the Week: Inflation, Rates & Earnings 📈💶📉
As we enter the week of 14 April, global markets are navigating a tricky economic landscape shaped by 📌 inflation dynamics, 📉 central bank policies, and 💼 corporate earnings.
🇺🇸 U.S. Inflation & Fed Outlook
March brought a surprise decline in U.S. wholesale inflation, with the Producer Price Index (PPI) falling 0.4% MoM, driven by an 11.1% drop in gasoline prices ⛽. But don’t celebrate too soon—🚨 new tariffs on Chinese goods (up to 125%) are already fuelling price hikes in areas like steel (+7.1%), putting upward pressure on future inflation 📈. These developments may complicate the Fed's rate cut timeline. 🔍
🇪🇺 ECB to Cut Rates?
The European Central Bank is widely expected to lower its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.25% this week 🏦. The move reflects growing downside risks to both economic growth and inflation. A strong euro 💶 and persistent trade tensions 🌍 are adding to the pressure.
💼 Earnings Season in Focus
Markets are bracing for key Q1 earnings reports from Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, Citigroup and tech leaders like Netflix and TSMC. Investors are watching for signs of 📊 consumer strength, 💸 corporate resilience, and 🧭 guidance in an uncertain policy environment.
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