📊 Morning Update | 30 April 2025
⠀
🌏 Asia-Pacific Markets:
Stock indices show modest moves.
🇨🇳 China: -0.60% to 0.00%
🇯🇵 JP225: -0.20%
🇦🇺 AU200: flat
🇸🇬 SG20: -0.25%
🇺🇸 US index futures: -0.45% to -0.55%
🧾 SMCI earnings shock:
Chipmaker SMCI 📉 slashed revenue & EPS forecasts due to client delays and inventory issues. Gross margins fell.
💥 Stock dropped 15% after-hours, dragging down Nvidia & other tech peers.
🇺🇸 Trade Deals Delay:
US Treasury Sec. Bessent said Trump must personally approve 18 trade deals — none finalised yet. Markets may be jumping the gun. 🐌
🤝 Trump–Carney Call:
Trump congratulated 🇨🇦 PM Mark Carney on his win. Both pledged to cooperate as sovereign partners. 🤝 Meeting coming soon.
🇦🇺 Australia CPI:
Q1 inflation slightly beat forecasts: 📈 +2.4% y/y.
Rate cut still expected at RBA’s 19–20 May meeting, but tone may stay cautious amid global uncertainty. AUD rose slightly.
🇨🇳 China PMI Mixed:
📉 Official manufacturing PMI fell to 49.0 (vs 49.8 forecast).
📈 Caixin PMI held at 50.4.
Small exporters remain resilient despite tariff headwinds. Export orders saw biggest drop since July 2023.
💵 Goldman Sachs on USD:
Chief economist sees 🟰 another 5% drop in the dollar — may fuel inflation but help exports. US slowdown = more USD weakness.
🇯🇵 Japan Data:
👷 Industrial production fell -1.1% m/m in March (vs -0.5% expected).
🛍 Retail sales +3.1% y/y but below forecasts.
BOJ expected to keep policy unchanged at Apr 30–May 1 meeting.
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