🗳 US Election Cycle & Market Cycles: Any Correlation? 📈
The 4-year US presidential cycle theory has long intrigued investors. Historically, markets tend to struggle in Year 1, then recover and perform best in Years 3 and 4. But with the 2025 landscape shaped by new policies, global tensions, and economic shifts — does this pattern still hold?
👇 Let’s break it down:
🔹 Market Trends & Politics
– Some say stocks rise more under Democrats than Republicans.
– But results are mixed — and often driven by other factors, not just party leadership.
– In 2025, markets initially rose post-election but dropped sharply on tariff news.
🔹 Volatility Is the Norm
– Election years often bring sharp swings, especially when major policy shifts hit.
– This year, trade-related fears sparked a significant sell-off — despite political clarity.
🔹 What Really Moves the Market?
– Fundamentals like interest rates, inflation, earnings, and liquidity still matter most.
– Behavioural biases also affect trading — don’t let political views cloud your judgment.
📊 Key Takeaways:
✅ Election cycles provide context — not a roadmap
✅ Expect volatility, especially around policy surprises
✅ Long-term strategy beats short-term sentiment
✅ Stick to the data. Avoid emotional trading.
👉 Bottom Line:
Markets may react to politics in the short term — but over time, data wins. Whether you’re a day trader or a long-term investor, it pays to focus on strategy, not headlines.
✅ Start trading smarter with NordFX:
👉 https://account.nordfx.com/acc...
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