💻 [MGM Market Insight] AI News Looks Bearish, But NASDAQ Still Climbing – What Gives?
Everyone’s talking about Nvidia’s $200 billion wipeout,
about whether AI has peaked,
about how tech is overbought…
But the NASDAQ 100 (NAS100)?
It just printed a new local high.
What’s going on?
📉 Reality check:
Nvidia (NVDA) dropped 10% in 2 sessions → over $200B in market cap gone
Only ~36% of Nasdaq stocks are trading above their 200-day MA (source: MarketWatch)
Top 5 mega-cap stocks account for over 50% of NAS100’s gains YTD
So yes — the rally is still on…
But it’s very concentrated, and possibly top-heavy.
📊 Chart View – NAS100, H1
Price is now pushing new highs around 22,470, supported by both short & mid MAs (yellow)
But notice: ATR(14) has declined significantly → volatility is fading
A sign that this upmove is getting tired — even if it hasn’t reversed (yet)
This is the kind of move where:
👉 Smart money is reducing exposure
👉 While retail is still buying every green candle
🧠 So what’s next?
We’re not calling a top.
But we are saying: this rally is built on fewer and fewer names.
And when everyone crowds into the same few stocks, the reversal — when it comes — can be fast and ugly.
🎯 MGM Forecast:
If NAS100 breaks 22,500 with momentum → may stretch to 22,800
But if it slips back below 22,300, we may see a shakeout toward 21,950
Watch ATR — if volatility spikes again on red candles, it may signal the unwind has started
📍 Asset: NAS100
🕒 Timeframe: H1
📊 Tools: MA, ATR, Market Internals
🧭 Mood: Looks strong, but internally fragile
When price goes up, but breadth goes down — that’s not strength.
That’s imbalance.
Macro Global Markets — trading what’s real, not just what’s shiny.
#MacroGlobalMarkets #NAS100 #TechStocks #NvidiaDrop #AIBubble #MarketBreadth #TradingInsight #SmartMoneyMoves
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