歐元/美元 基本面與技術面分析
🔹基本面分析:
美聯儲7月利率決定維持利率不變,鮑威爾強調勞動力市場穩健,對9月降息持保留態度,但近期非農數據令降息預期升溫,導致美元承壓下跌。另一方面,雖然貿易協議對歐元構成持續壓力,但避險情緒和降息預期為歐元提供部分支撐。
🔹技術面分析:
歐元/美元已完成主升段第 (3) 浪,目前正在完成第 (4) 浪修正。(4) 浪表現為典型的ABC三浪結構,其中c 浪出現急跌但未破關鍵前低,具備結束可能。預期接下來將進入第 (5) 浪上漲,目標可能測試 1.180~ 1.200區域。
EUR/USD Fundamental and Technical Analysis
🔹 Fundamental Analysis:
The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged in its July decision. Chairman Powell emphasized the strength of the labor market and remained cautious about a potential rate cut in September. However, recent non-farm payroll data has raised expectations of a rate cut, putting pressure on the U.S. dollar. On the other hand, while trade agreements continue to weigh on the euro, risk-off sentiment and rate cut expectations are offering some support to the currency.
🔹 Technical Analysis:
EUR/USD has completed the main impulsive wave (3) and is currently undergoing a corrective wave (4). Wave (4) is forming a typical ABC corrective structure, with wave c showing a sharp decline but failing to break key previous lows, suggesting a potential end to the correction. The next move is expected to be the beginning of wave (5) to the upside, potentially targeting the 1.1800–1.2000 area.
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