Summer’s End: Will Volatility Return? 🍂
Markets stayed calm for much of summer, but the mix of Fed uncertainty, shifting tech momentum and seasonal patterns points to choppier weeks ahead.
What to watch
🏦 Fed watch - rate cut hopes into September remain data dependent, so CPI and jobs prints matter.
💻 Tech cool-off - some rotation into defensives as valuations stretch.
📅 Seasonality - late August to mid-October often brings higher volatility and a firmer VIX.
Playbook
🎯 Phase entries instead of going all-in.
🛡 Tilt towards quality defensives and keep some high-grade bonds as ballast.
🌍 Diversify across assets and regions; consider gold and bitcoin as tactical diversifiers.
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