🌅 Morning Update (29.08.2025)
📈 Wall Street closed higher yesterday:
S&P 500 +0.32% | Nasdaq +0.53%
Yet futures are pointing lower today (US500 -0.07%, US100 -0.15%). Nvidia slipped -0.79% after mixed earnings, though losses were milder than early in the session.
🇪🇺 Europe: Futures are slightly weaker – DE40 -0.11%, FRA40 -0.03%, as political risks continue to weigh.
🌏 Asia: Mostly upbeat – CH50cash +0.93%, CHN.cash +0.11%. JP225 -0.3% as Morgan Stanley warns against optimism on China.
🛢 Oil climbed above $64 amid geopolitical uncertainty, while doubts remain over a Putin–Zelensky meeting.
🇺🇸 Focus on the Fed: Markets await US PCE Core inflation data (forecast 2.9% YoY). A softer print could strengthen expectations for a September rate cut (currently priced at 85%).
🇯🇵 Japan:
Unemployment down ✅ (supporting rate hike chances)
Inflation eased to 2.5% ❌
Industrial production -1.6% ❌
Retail sales +0.3% vs 1.8% expected ❌
💱 Forex: EUR/USD stays below 1.17. Fed’s Waller said rates are moving towards “neutral,” but timing of cuts remains key.
💰 Bitcoin faces pressure again, testing $110,000 after yesterday’s rebound.
🥇 Gold holds firm above $3,400, with inflation data in focus. A softer reading could lift prices towards record highs, while a stronger print risks a pullback. Gold has already tested the $3,400 level five times since April.
📊 Looking ahead: Month-end flows and China PMI this weekend could drive fresh volatility.
✨ Stay alert – today’s moves may set the tone for September trading!
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