avatar
· 阅读量 24
🔴Political and Economic Pressures Weigh on Dollar Ahead of Jobs Data The U.S. dollar opened Tuesday trading on a mixed note, as global monetary policy signals and domestic political uncertainty continue to shape investor sentiment. Global Policy Drivers Other Central Banks: Policy shifts in Europe and Switzerland also added to volatility, reinforcing the view that global monetary cycles remain uneven and dependent on local inflation/labor dynamics. U.S. Political Headwinds Shutdown risks: Ongoing gridlock over federal funding deadlines continues to undermine confidence, creating an added layer of uncertainty for the dollar. Fed stance: Despite elevated inflation readings, policymakers remain cautious about overtightening given signs of labor market softening. Goldman Sachs: Jobs Data Could Resolve Disconnect Between Stocks and Bonds.Goldman Sachs highlighted the unusual divergence between U.S. equity and bond markets ahead of this week’s key labor releases. Equity markets: Pricing in a “soft landing” narrative, expecting the Fed to cut rates without derailing growth. Investors are also betting on reacceleration by 2026, aided by fiscal support. Bond markets: Taking a more cautious stance, focusing on downside risks from weakening employment and the possibility that growth momentum is already stalling. Goldman argued that the upcoming U.S. jobs report could act as the decisive catalyst to resolve this split, either reinforcing equity optimism or validating bond investors’ caution. 📌 Bottom Line: The U.S. dollar remains caught between political risk, central bank divergence, and incoming labor data. Markets will be highly sensitive to September’s employment figures, which could tip sentiment across currencies, equities, and Treasurys alike.

风险提示:本文所述仅代表作者个人观点,不代表 Followme 的官方立场。Followme 不对内容的准确性、完整性或可靠性作出任何保证,对于基于该内容所采取的任何行为,不承担任何责任,除非另有书面明确说明。

avatar
回复 0

加载失败()

  • tradingContest