📊 Mid-Month Pulse: USD vs Emerging Markets 🌍💵
The middle of November brings fresh volatility to FX markets as the US dollar holds firm and emerging-market currencies try to stabilise. The latest data show the nominal trade-weighted dollar index against EM economies rising to 132.08 in October from 131.86, while the real index climbed to 107.16. The DXY is trading near 99.38, reflecting a cautious but steady dollar tone.
🌐 EM currencies have shown only modest gains. The broader EM currency basket is stabilising rather than rallying, as many economies face slower growth while external pressure from a firm dollar persists.
⚡ What traders should watch now:
A stronger US inflation or labour print could lift the dollar further and weigh on EM assets, while softer readings may give EM currencies some breathing room. With the dollar steady and EM momentum muted, volatility can create short-term opportunities but also raises risk.
🎯 Bottom line: We’re in a balanced but fragile phase. The dollar is stable, EM currencies are holding but not breaking out, and the next big move will likely follow upcoming US data.
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