📊 New on the NordFX...来自NORDFX Global

09 Dec 2025, 21:13 · 阅读量 1,741

📊 New on the NordFX Blog: How to Trade News & Macro Events Economic data, central-bank meetings, inflation reports and geopolitical developments shape every major market move. Understanding these drivers is essential whether you trade forex, gold, oil, indices, or crypto. In this new article, NordFX breaks down: • How to navigate the economic calendar • Why CPI, GDP, NFP and rate decisions move markets • How macro events affect different asset classes • How to manage risk during high-volatility sessions The article is practical, structured, and designed to help traders build a clearer framework for interpreting market reactions. Read it here 👉 https://nordfx.com/useful-arti... 🧠 A great read for anyone looking to trade smarter during news events.

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🌅 Morning Update (28.11.2025) 📈 Risk appetite continues to lift sentiment. Nasdaq futures tick up 0.2%, while Bitcoin rises above $91.8K, gaining more than 10% from last week’s dip near $81K. 🌏 Asian markets moved unevenly. Chinese indices slipped slightly, while 🇯🇵 Japan edged higher. 🇰🇷 KOSPI is closing November with a 4% decline, its weakest month since October 2024. 🇯🇵 Japan’s data came in broadly stronger. 🏘️ Housing starts increased 3.2% y/y (vs forecast –4.9%). 🛍️ Large-scale retail sales rose 5% y/y (previous 3%). 🏭 Industrial production gained 1.4% m/m, beating expectations of –0.6%, although softer than the earlier 2.6%. 🛒 Retail sales rose 1.7% y/y, above the 0.8% estimate. 💴 Foreign investment in Japanese stocks dropped to –348.7B (previous 1,020.9B), while bond inflows increased to 576.5B. 📊 Tokyo inflation stayed elevated. Core CPI came in at 2.8% y/y, slightly above the 2.7% estimate, while headline CPI printed 2.7%, matching the forecast. 🇪🇺 European sentiment is also mixed. Germany reported a small –1K change in unemployment (better than the expected 4.5K), and import prices rose 0.2% m/m, beating forecasts. ⚠️ CME trading halt: A technical issue forced the CME to suspend futures and options trading, affecting US Treasuries and S&P 500 contracts. Traders also reported disruptions in forex trading on the EBS platform. 👉 Stay tuned with NordFX for more updates and keep your strategy sharp in fast-moving markets.

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Interest Rate Expectations and Their Impact on Q1 2026 FX Trends 🌍📈 Markets are increasingly pricing in further Fed rate cuts in early 2026 — after an expected December move that could bring policy rates closer to 3.00–3.25%. By contrast, the ECB looks set to keep rates stable near 2.00% as euro-area inflation eases. 💱 What could this mean for FX? • Pressure on the US dollar may persist • EUR/USD has scope to push higher if expectations hold • Some emerging currencies may benefit from a softer dollar ⚡ Q1 could bring stronger volatility and new directional trends as traders reposition around policy shifts. Ready to trade these moves? 🚀 https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

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🌅 Morning Update | 15 December 2025 📈 Futures on major European and US equity indices are opening the week with a mild rebound (US500 +0.2%, EU50 +0.25%), partially recovering after Friday’s pullback linked to weak Oracle results and renewed doubts over the sustainability of the AI rally. Market sentiment is supported by a revived “less-hawkish Fed in 2026” narrative. 🏛 Donald Trump stated that US inflation has been “completely neutralised” and suggested that the future composition of the Fed should push interest rates lower. Meanwhile, Kevin Hassett, White House chief economic adviser and a leading candidate for Fed chair, reassured markets that the FOMC would retain full independence, stressing that he would not factor Trump’s views into rate decisions. 🌏 Asia-Pacific markets extended losses from Friday’s Wall Street session, pressured further by weak data from China. Chinese equities (CHN.cash) are the main laggard (-0.5%), with declines also seen in Hong Kong (HK.cash -0.1%) and Australia (AU200.cash -0.1%). Japan stands out, with the Nikkei (JP225 +0.3%) supported by stronger Tankan business sentiment and lower exposure to tech stocks. 🇨🇳 China’s November data pointed to a deepening slowdown. Retail sales rose just 1.3% y/y versus 2.8% expected, industrial production grew 4.8% versus 5%, while fixed-asset investment fell 2.6%, extending October’s decline. The property slump and weak consumer confidence remain key drags, while the auto sector was hit after local governments paused trade-in subsidies. 🇳🇿 In New Zealand, rates are likely to stay at 2.25% for an extended period if the economy evolves as projected, according to RBNZ Governor Anna Breman. 💱 In FX markets, the standout move is a rebound in the yen (USDJPY, EURJPY -0.55%) as Japan heads toward a potential rate hike later this week. The US dollar index (USDIDX) is down 0.05% amid diverging global policy expectations

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🌅 Morning Update (01.12.2025)

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🌅 Morning Update (03.12.2025) 📈 Wall Street ended Tuesday with a modest rebound, and futures continue edging higher as traders wait for today’s US ADP employment data (US2000, US100, US500, US30 ~+0.2%; EU50 ~+0.05%). 🛍️ Retail sentiment improved after the National Retail Federation reported record Black Friday activity — 202.9 million shoppers over five days, beating forecasts and signalling resilient demand despite labour market tightness. 🏛️ Donald Trump called Kevin Hassett a “potential Fed chair”, reinforcing speculation that he may replace Powell early next year. Growing political pressure for easing sent the dollar lower at the session open. 🌏 Asia-Pacific trading remains cautious before US labour and inflation numbers. China leads losses (CHN.cash –1.2%; HK.cash –0.9%) amid slowing services growth, property concerns and credit issues at Vanke. Japan’s JP225 rebounds 0.5%, while Australia’s AU200.cash dips 0.1% after softer GDP. 🇨🇳 China’s services PMI beat estimates (52.1 vs 52), showing steady though slightly slower expansion. Export orders firmed, but employment continued to shrink and input prices rose for a ninth month, squeezing margins. 🇦🇺 Australia’s Q3 GDP rose 0.4% q/q (below the 0.7% forecast). Strong private consumption supported the print, while price pressures boosted rate expectations and helped the AUD. 💱 The dollar is on track for its fourth day of declines as markets price a December Fed cut (USDIDX –0.15%). Sterling leads (GBPUSD, GBPCAD +0.23%), followed by AUDUSD and NZDUSD (+0.24%). EURUSD trades near 1.164. 🥈 Silver slips 0.8% to USD 58/oz, and gold stays flat near USD 4,210/oz. 🛢️ Brent and WTI regain 0.3%, while NATGAS climbs 1.9%. 🪙 Bitcoin moves higher for a second day (+1.3% to USD 93,100), and Ethereum advances 1.4% to USD 3,064. 📌 Stay informed. Trade smart with NordFX

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