Morning Update (29.12.2025) ☀️📊
Holiday-thinned liquidity is keeping markets nervous – even modest flows can trigger outsized moves as traders position into year-end.
🌏 Risk mood
Asian equities are mostly firmer in quiet trading, while overall sentiment remains mixed. Optimism about potential rate cuts next year is offset by ongoing geopolitical uncertainty.
💱 FX
The US dollar is holding near multi-month lows, while the yen is attempting to stabilise after recent volatility. Markets remain sensitive to signals from the Bank of Japan and any hints of official action.
🛢️ Commodities
Oil (Brent) is trying to recover after last week’s weakness, with geopolitics and headlines still driving short-term direction.
Gold stays elevated, with recent pullbacks looking more like profit-taking than a trend reversal. Silver continues to trade near record highs.
🪙 Crypto
bitcoin remains range-bound in thin conditions, hovering in the high-$80k area. With low liquidity, sudden volatility spikes remain a risk.
📅 Today’s focus
The macro calendar is relatively light, with US Pending Home Sales (Nov) among the key releases. Attention later this week will turn to the FOMC minutes.
⚠️ Trading note
Low volume ≠ low risk. Smaller positions and disciplined risk management matter more than ever into the New Year.
Stay alert, trade smart, and start the final trading days of 2025 with a clear plan 💡📈
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