🚨 Forex & Crypto We...来自NORDFX Global

04 Apr 2026, 19:32 · 阅读量 859

🚨 Forex & Crypto Weekly Outlook (Apr 06–10, 2026) Markets remain on edge as geopolitics + inflation take center stage 🌍🔥 💱 EUR/USD 🔹 Trading near 1.15 🔹 Dollar supported by strong US data 📉 Bias: Slightly bearish below 1.1550 🛢 Brent Oil 🔹 Above $109 amid supply risks 🔹 Key driver of global inflation 📈 Bias: Bullish above $105 🥇 Gold 🔹 Around 4,670 🔹 баланс between safe-haven demand & strong USD ⚖️ Bias: Range-bound (4,620–4,720) 🥈 Silver 🔹 Near 72.9 after pullback 🔹 Higher volatility vs gold 📉 Bias: Weak below 74 🪙 Bitcoin (BTC) 🔹 ~$66.9K, moving sideways 🔹 Waiting for breakout 📊 Range: 65.7K – 68.6K ⚙️ Ethereum (ETH) 🔹 ~$2,050 🔹 Lagging BTC momentum 📉 Bias: Bearish below 2,140 📅 What to watch this week: 📌 US CPI (April 10) 📌 FOMC Minutes 📌 Oil & geopolitical headlines ⚡ Summary: Markets remain volatile & macro-driven. Oil = key trigger. Crypto = range-bound. FX = USD-driven moves. 📊 Stay tuned with NordFX for more insights

风险提示：本文所述仅代表作者个人观点，不代表 Followme 的官方立场。Followme 不对内容的准确性、完整性或可靠性作出任何保证，对于基于该内容所采取的任何行为，不承担任何责任，除非另有书面明确说明。

喜欢的话，赞赏支持一下

暂无评论，立马抢沙发

文章相关

NORDFX Global

评分 4.0

NicolaiIta: Great broker. UK FCA regulated. Staff are extremely helpful and responsive. Tight spreads. EURUSD goes to 0 spread regularly. On top of all this, great investor potential.

更多内容

🔥 Real Yields vs Nominal Yields: What Drives Gold (XAU/USD)? Gold is not driven by headlines alone. The key driver is real yields 📊 The Core Mechanism Nominal yields = bond yields Real yields = nominal yields minus inflation expectations 👉 Gold follows real yields, because it does not pay interest 💡 Current Market Reality (2026) Inflation expectations remain sensitive due to oil volatility linked to Iran tensions Central banks, especially the Fed, remain cautious on rate cuts Nominal yields stay relatively elevated ➡️ This keeps real yields high 📉 Result: Gold has struggled to sustain upside despite geopolitical risk 🧠 Key Insight Many traders misunderstand this: Rising inflation alone is not bullish for gold What matters is the balance: ✔️ Inflation rising faster than rates → real yields fall → gold up ❌ Rates staying high → real yields stay elevated → gold pressured 👉 Right now: policy is restrictive enough to limit gold upside 📊 Why CPI Matters CPI directly impacts: Inflation expectations Rate cut expectations Real yields ➡️ Which ultimately drives XAU/USD Market reaction framework: Hot CPI → fewer rate cuts → bearish gold Soft CPI → easing expectations → bullish gold ⚔️ Macro vs Geopolitics Even with ongoing tensions: USD remains strong Real yields dominate price action 👉 Macro is currently outweighing safe-haven demand 🚀 What to Watch 📌 US CPI data 📌 Fed policy signals 📌 Real yields (TIPS) 📌 Oil-driven inflation pressure 📢 Trade gold with NordFX 👉 https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis... 💬 Summary Gold tracks real yields, not just inflation High real yields = pressure on XAU/USD CPI and Fed expectations are the key triggers

NORDFX Global

🌅 NORDFX MORNING UPDATE | Tuesday, March 31, 2026 🛢️ OIL — A HISTORIC MONTH March 2026 will go down in the history books. Brent crude has surged roughly 55% this month — a record for the contract dating back to its inception in 1988, surpassing even the Gulf War rally of September 1990. As of early Tuesday trading, WTI May futures are around $102/barrel and Brent near $111.55, pulling back slightly after reports that Trump may be willing to end US operations against Iran even if the Strait of Hormuz remains shut. Goldman Sachs estimates a $14–18 per barrel geopolitical risk premium is currently baked into prices, with Trump's April 6 deadline for Iran to reopen the strait looming large. 🔥 🥇 GOLD — SEARCHING FOR A FLOOR Spot gold is trading at approximately $4,472/oz this morning (+0.12%), caught between a strong US dollar and persistent safe-haven demand driven by the West Asia conflict. Gold has now posted its third consecutive weekly loss — its worst streak since March 2020 — pressured by the Fed's firm no-cut stance, dollar strength, and elevated oil-driven inflation. The long-term bull case remains intact: UBS targets $6,200 by mid-2026, BNP Paribas forecasts $6,000 by year-end, seeing the pullback as a corrective clearing of positions rather than a trend reversal. 📉➡️📈 💱 FOREX — DOLLAR HOLDS FIRM EUR/USD is trading around 1.1587 in early Tuesday hours, having closed last week at 1.1510 after failing to hold the 1.1600–1.1620 zone. GBP/USD is near 1.3232, while USD/JPY sits around 159.34 — still close to the closely watched 160 level that previously triggered Bank of Japan intervention. The Fed, ECB, and Bank of England all held rates in March, with central banks flagging elevated uncertainty tied to the Middle East energy shock. 👉 Key event today: Eurozone flash CPI for March releases today — a critical data point for EUR direction and ECB April rate-hike expectations.

NORDFX Global

🌅 MORNING UPDATE | April 9, 2026 📍 NordFX Market Briefing 🌍 MACRO DRIVER A 2-week US–Iran ceasefire is the week's dominant theme. Trump paused strikes on Iranian targets, contingent on reopening the Strait of Hormuz — through which ~20% of global oil flows. Ceasefire terms remain contested, keeping volatility high. Today's big data dump hits at 8:30 AM ET: Core PCE, GDP Q4, Personal Income & Spending, Jobless Claims. Friday brings March CPI. 📈 ASIAN MARKETS (Wed. close — ceasefire-fueled rally) 🇯🇵 Nikkei 225 +5.4% → 56,308 (3rd-largest point gain ever) 🇰🇷 KOSPI +6.9% → 5,872 🇭🇰 Hang Seng +3.1% → 25,893 🇨🇳 Shanghai Comp. +2.7% → 3,995 🇦🇺 ASX 200 +2.6% → 8,952 💵 US DOLLAR (DXY) Hovering ~99, near a one-month low. Fell over 1% Wednesday on ceasefire news, erasing year-to-date gains. Fed held rates at 4.25–4.50%; April cut probability: 0%. 💶 EUR/USD ~1.1670–1.1700 ⬆️ 💷 GBP/USD firmly above 1.3400 ⬆️ 🇯🇵 USD/JPY ~158–160, broadly sideways 🥇 GOLD (XAU/USD) Trading ~$4,700–4,810 today. Supported by central bank demand & geopolitical uncertainty. JPMorgan & Goldman Sachs project $4,000–$6,300 range for 2026. ATH: $5,602 (Jan 28, 2026). 🛢️ WTI CRUDE OIL Crashed ~16% to ~$95/bbl Wednesday on ceasefire news — biggest single-day drop since April 2020. Remains elevated vs. pre-war levels (~$67 in late February). Overnight futures edged back up as ceasefire terms were disputed. ₿ BITCOIN ~$68,000–69,000, down ~1% on the day. Briefly spiked above $70,300 mid-week on a short squeeze ($145M liquidated). Key resistance: $72,000. 📌 Watch today: PCE & GDP (8:30 ET) · March CPI Friday · Hormuz transit news ⚠️ Not investment advice. Trading involves risk. 🔗 NordFX — Trade Smarter

NORDFX Global

💼 Active vs Passive Income – What Really Builds Wealth? Most people earn money actively. Few manage to make money work for them. So what’s the real difference? And more importantly – how do you move from one to the other? 📊 In this article, you’ll discover: – What active and passive income actually mean (without myths) – Why relying on just one source can limit your growth – How traders and investors combine both approaches – What it takes to build long-term financial stability 💡 The key isn’t choosing one over the other. It’s understanding how to turn income into assets – and assets into freedom. 🚀 Read the full guide here: https://nordfx.com/useful-arti...

NORDFX Global

🚀 Weekly Market Forecast: March 30 – April 03, 2026 Markets remain on edge as geopolitics and oil prices continue to drive volatility 🌍⚡ Here’s what to watch this week: 💱 EUR/USD Pressure persists as the dollar stays strong 📉 Bias: Neutral–Bearish below 1.1550 🛢 Brent Oil Still elevated amid supply risks 🔥 Key level: $100 📈 Bias: Bullish above $100 🥇 Gold Caught between safe-haven demand & strong USD ⚖️ Range: $4,450 – $4,585 📊 Bias: Neutral 🥈 Silver High volatility continues 📉 Support: $67.50 📈 Bias: Neutral–Bullish above support 🪙 Bitcoin Struggling under risk-off sentiment ⚠️ Resistance: $68,800 📉 Bias: Bearish–Neutral 🔷 Ethereum Weaker momentum vs BTC 📊 Key level: $2,060 📉 Bias: Bearish–Neutral 📅 Key drivers this week: • Geopolitical headlines 🌍 • Oil price movements 🛢 • US jobs data & EU inflation 📊 ⚡ Summary: Volatility remains high. Oil leads, crypto lags, FX sensitive to macro data. 👉 Stay tuned with NordFX for the latest market insights! Disclaimer: These materials are for informational purposes only and are not investment advice. Trading involves risk.

NORDFX Global