- AUD declined amid Middle East tensions, pressuring risk-sensitive currencies due to rising oil prices.
- USD strengthened with the DXY near 102.00, boosted by strong upcoming US Nonfarm Payrolls data and cooling easing bets on the Fed.
- The likelihood of a 50-basis-point reduction in November or December has diminished to zero, while there is only a 90% chance of a 25-basis-point cut next month being factored in.
- Even with robust economic data, the market continues to expect a total easing of 125 basis points over the next year.
- Fed speakers and Consumer Price Index (CPI) data from the US will guide the pair’s trajectory this week.
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