​EBC Markets Briefing | Aussie dollar rises despite iron ore woes

The Australian dollar saw a moderate increase on Wednesday after the finalised deal between the US and UK marks a good start to a string a trade talks. However, Iran-Israel conflict capped its gains.

Iron ore headed for the lowest close since September on a slowdown in demand. The rainy season in southern China, as well as high temperatures in the north, is slowing construction, Shanghai Metals Market said.

China's factory output growth hit a six-month low in May, while new home prices extended a two-year long stagnation. The 3.3% decrease in PPI also highlight challenges to the metal.

Citigroup has cut prompt-to-three month price forecast to $90 a ton from $100, while the six-to-twelve month target was scaled back to $85 from $90. US tariff pose additional risks to Australia.

Australians are distrustful of Trump, according to a new survey released by the Lowy Institute think tank, complicating Canberra's task of managing ties with the world's largest economy.

In May, the country's seasonally adjusted balance on goods and services saw a surplus increase of A$1,337 million, as a notable rise in beef and wheat exports offset the decline in commodity exports.

The Aussie dollar is about to show the golden cross. If that happens, we expect another leg higher which could lead to 0.6600, last seen in November 2024.

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