Weekly Economic Calendar: Week of September 15 – 19, 2025 (GMT+8)
This week’s macro calendar is packed with several high-impact events that could bring volatility to the markets. Key highlights include central bank decisions from the U.S., U.K., Canada, and Japan, as well as crucial inflation and retail sales data.
| Time | Cur. | Events | Fcst | Prev |
|
Tuesday, September 16, 2025
|
||||
| 20:30 | USD |
Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug)
|
0.30% | 0.30% |
| 20:30 | USD |
Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug)
|
0.30% | 0.50% |
|
Wednesday, September 17, 2025
|
||||
| 14:00 | GBP | CPI (YoY) (Aug) |
3.8%
|
|
| 17:00 | EUR | CPI (YoY) (Aug) |
2.10%
|
2.00%
|
| 21:45 | CAD |
BoC Interest Rate Decision
|
2.75%
|
|
| 22:30 | USD |
Crude Oil Inventories
|
3.939M
|
|
|
Thursday, September 18, 2025
|
||||
| 2:00 | USD | FOMC Economic Projections | ||
| 2:00 | USD |
FOMC Statement
|
||
| 2:00 | USD |
Fed Interest Rate Decision
|
4.25%
|
4.50%
|
| 2:30 | USD |
FOMC Press Conference
|
||
| 19:00 | GBP |
BoE Interest Rate Decision (Sep)
|
4.00% | |
| 20:30 | USD | Initial Jobless Claims |
263K
|
|
| 20:30 | USD |
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Sep)
|
0.3 | -0.3 |
|
Friday, September 19, 2025
|
||||
| 11:00 | JPY |
BoJ Interest Rate Decision
|
0.50% | 0.50% |
| Key highlights: |
Key Highlights:
-
🇺🇸 U.S. Retail Sales & CPI – Tuesday & Wednesday
-
🇨🇦 BoC Interest Rate Decision – Wednesday
-
🇺🇸 FOMC & Fed Rate Decision – Thursday
-
🇬🇧 BoE Interest Rate Decision – Thursday
-
🇯🇵 BoJ Interest Rate Decision – Friday
Macro Analysis
🇺🇸 U.S. Data & Fed Decisions
-
Retail Sales (Tue 20:30): The August retail sales report will provide a crucial look into consumer spending, a key component of the U.S. economy. A strong number could support the U.S. dollar, while a weak one may raise concerns about a slowdown.
-
FOMC & Fed Rate Decision (Thu 02:00): This is the main event of the week. The Fed will release its new economic projections, a policy statement, and its interest rate decision. The market is focused on whether the Fed will signal any change in its policy outlook. The subsequent press conference will offer further details.
🇨🇦 BoC Decision (Wed 21:45) The Bank of Canada will announce its latest interest rate decision. This could impact the Canadian dollar, especially if there are any surprises in the announcement or accompanying statement.
🇬🇧 BoE Decision (Thu 19:00) The Bank of England will also make its rate decision. With inflation as a key focus, any signals on the future path of monetary policy could lead to sharp moves for the British pound.
🇯🇵 BoJ Decision (Fri 11:00) The Bank of Japan’s decision will be closely watched. Given the current economic environment, any change in its dovish stance could significantly impact the Japanese yen.
Speculative Outlook for USD Traders
This week is all about the Fed's stance and key data releases. Here's how it could play out:
🟢 Bullish USD Scenario
-
Fed signals a more hawkish tone in its statement or projections.
-
Retail sales and other data (e.g., jobless claims) come in strong.
-
Trade ideas: Long USD/JPY, short EUR/USD.
🔴 Bearish USD Scenario
-
Fed's statement is more dovish than expected.
-
Retail sales disappoint, pointing to a weakening economy.
-
Trade ideas: Long EUR/USD, long gold.
🟡 Wild Card: Central Bank Surprises If the BoE or BoJ surprise the market with an unexpected change in policy or a hawkish tone, their respective currencies could rally regardless of U.S. data. Watch for potential divergence trades, like long GBP/USD or long USD/JPY.
Watch full calendar at Followme Economic Calendar Tool
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