No institution influences the Forex market more than the Federal Reserve. Even when the Fed does not change interest rates, its tone, signals, and future guidance can move currencies around the world. Right now, markets are closely watching the Fed because expectations are shifting, not actions.
Traders are trying to answer one big question: has the Fed reached the turning point? Inflation has cooled compared with previous peaks, but it is not fully under control. At the same time, parts of the economy are slowing, creating pressure for easier policy. This balance keeps the Fed cautious and keeps markets guessing.
In Forex, uncertainty itself becomes a driver. When the Fed sounds less confident or more data dependent, the US Dollar often weakens as traders reduce long USD positions. When the Fed sounds firm or patient, the Dollar can quickly regain strength.
This is why the Fed remains the heartbeat of Forex markets. Every comment, every data release, and every shift in wording matters more than ever.
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