Weekly Economic Calendar: Week of January 5-10, 2026

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Weekly Economic Calendar: Week of January 5-10, 2026
Weekly Economic Calendar: Week of January 5 - 10, 2026 (GMT+8)
This week’s macro calendar is driven by U.S. growth + labour risk and Europe’s inflation prints, with key releases that can swing USD pairs, EUR crosses, rates, and broad risk sentiment. Expect the sharpest moves around the U.S. ISM (manufacturing & services) midweek and Friday’s U.S. jobs report (NFP), while German CPI and Eurozone CPI can shift EUR pricing and ripple into DXY.

 
Time Cur. Events Fcst Prev
Monday, January 5, 2026
23:00 USD ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec) 48.3 48.2
23:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Prices (Dec) 59.0 58.5
Tuesday, January 6, 2026
21:00 EUR RBA Interest Rate Decision (Dec) 0.30% -0.20%
22:45 USD JOLTS Job Openings (Sep) 52.9 54.1
Wednesday, January 7, 2026
18:00 EUR CPI (YoY) (Dec) 2.10% 2.10%
21:15 USD ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Dec) 47K -32K
23:00 USD ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Dec) 52.2 52.6
23:00 USD ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Dec)   65.4
23:00 USD JOLTS Job Openings (Nov) 7.650M 7.670M
23:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories   -1.934M
Thursday, January 8, 2026
21:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims 216K 199K
Friday, January 9, 2026
21:30 USD Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Dec) 0.30% 57K
21:30 USD Nonfarm Payrolls (Dec) 57K 64K
21:30 USD Unemployment Rate (Dec) 4.50% 4.60%


Key highlights:
🇺🇸 U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec); U.S. ISM Manufacturing Prices (Dec) – Monday 
🇩🇪 German CPI (MoM, Dec) – Tuesday
🇺🇸 S&P Global Services PMI (Dec) – Tuesday
🇪🇺 Eurozone CPI (YoY, Dec) – Wednesday 
🇺🇸 ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Dec) – Wednesday 
🇺🇸 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Dec) – Wednesday
🇺🇸 ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Dec) – Wednesday 
🇺🇸 JOLTS Job Openings (Nov) – Wednesday 
🇺🇸 Crude Oil Inventories – Wednesday 
🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims – Thursday 
🇺🇸 Average Hourly Earnings (MoM, Dec); Nonfarm Payrolls (Dec); Unemployment Rate (Dec) – Friday 


Macro Analysis
The ISM Manufacturing PMI sets the tone for early-week USD and rates. A stronger PMI with firmer prices supports a “sticky inflation / resilient activity” narrative (USD-supportive), while a soft PMI and cooling prices lean risk-off growth concerns and can cap yields and weigh on USD.

Germany & Eurozone Inflation – Tuesday/Wednesday
The German CPI (MoM) and Eurozone CPI (YoY) are key for EUR rate expectations. Hotter inflation can lift EUR via higher-for-longer pricing, while softer inflation reinforces disinflation and can pressure EUR—especially if U.S. data stays firm.
U.S. Labour Stack – Tue to Fri (PMI → ADP → JOLTS → Claims → NFP)
 This is a classic build-up into Friday:
1. Services PMI (Tue) hints at demand momentum.
2. ADP + JOLTS (Wed) shape expectations for hiring strength and labour tightness.
3. Jobless Claims (Thu) is the final temperature check for near-term labour cooling.
4. NFP + Wages + Unemployment (Fri) is the main volatility trigger, especially for USD, yields, and equity index futures.
Crude Oil Inventories – Wednesday
Inventory surprises can move oil sharply, impacting inflation expectations and oil-sensitive FX. A large draw can lift crude and inflation hedges; a big build can pressure crude and cool inflation fears.

Speculative Outlook for USD Traders
This is an ISM + NFP week, expecting positioning to shift fast as the data chain confirms (or contradicts) the labour and growth narrative.

🟢 Bullish USD Scenario
ISM (manufacturing/services) prints above consensus
ISM Prices stays firm, signalling sticky price pressure
ADP solid; JOLTS stable/higher; Claims remain low
NFP beats and/or wages surprise higher, unemployment holds down

🔴 Bearish USD Scenario
ISM misses (growth cooling), and/or ISM Prices eases
ADP weak; Claims trend higher; JOLTS softens
NFP disappoints and wage growth cools, unemployment ticks up

🟡 Wild Cards (High Whipsaw Risk)
NFP composition: wages vs headline jobs, participation rate shifts, revisions
EUR inflation surprise (Germany/Eurozone) that quickly reprises EUR rates and moves DXY
Oil inventory shock that shifts inflation expectations into Friday

Watch the full calendar at Followme Economic Calendar Tool
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