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Summary We expect the FOMC will leave its target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25-4.50% at its upcoming meeting on May 6-7, a view widely shared by financial markets and economists. Market pricing currently implies only a 9% probability of the FOMC cutting the fed funds rate by 25

If the "Liberation Day" tariffs end up being the match that torched the dollar, it would make perfect sense. The sheer chaos around U.S. trade policy has shredded the dollar’s appeal as a go-to reserve asset. Big shops are already slashing forecasts and whispering that we’re not just in a tactical d

Partner Center U.S. flash PMI data for April showed mixed results, as the manufacturing industry stayed in expansion while services reported weaker growth. Output growth slowed to a 16-month low while prices saw their sharpest gains in over a year as tariffs concerns came in play. The slowdown in bu

The US currency is trying to balance itself in the early hours of Tuesday after the new pressures it received at the start of the week as President Trump's enigmatic and, for many, questionable policies have raised significant concerns about the broader credibility of US economic policy. The exchang

South Korean exports fell significantly in April, based on an early look at activity in the first 20 days of the month. The data suggests US tariffs are beginning to hit global trade hard. South Korea's April trade data is a vital early look at global trade trends The sudden 5.2% drop in South Korea

Trading conditions have thinned out into the end of the week with many market participants off the desks for the Easter weekend. As we come into Friday, things look relatively stable in the aftermath of the ECB decision to cut rates by another 25 basis points, bringing rates to a 2-year low. Share:

Oil prices continue to slide, deepening the losses seen last week as concerns over global trade tensions and a growing oil supply weighed on market sentiment. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell $1.29, or 2.08%, to settle at $60.70 per barrel, while Brent crude dropped $1.37, or 2.09%, clo

Euro (EUR) bulls paused overnight, ahead of ZEW survey, industrial production data today, current account (Wednesday) and ECB meeting (Thursday). Pair was last at 1.1357 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note. Dovish comments may partially negate EUR’s ascend "On ECB, ou

The Dollar Index on a rise past 100 can head to 101-101.50. The Euro and EURINR tested 1.1474 and 98.77 as expected and now can witness a fall back to 1.12-1.11 and 96.0-95.5 respectively. EURJPY is stuck within 160-164 range. USDJPY needs to rise past 144 to negate the fall to140 in the near term.

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Market wrap Equity futures are flashing green across the board — US, Europe, and Asia — hitching a ride on the coattails of Trump’s tech tariff pause. After last week’s market whiplash, the move was just enough to pump some air back into the tires and trigger a bounce. But let’s not confuse relief w