Hemingway

Introduction The Federal Reserve delivered its first rate cut of 2025, but the market’s reaction has been anything but uniform. Beyond the mechanics of a 25-basis-point reduction, what traders are really debating now is the internal balance of power within the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). C

The short-term Elliott Wave structure in crude oil indicates a downward cycle from the June 23, 2025, high, unfolding as a five-wave impulse. Wave 1 concluded at $61.45, and wave 2 rallied to $66.42, as shown on the 1-hour chart. Wave 2 developed as a regular flat structure. From wave 1’s low, wave

Why Powell’s tone matters The market’s takeaway from last week’s 25bp rate cut was straightforward: the easing cycle has begun, and futures are leaning toward two more cuts into year-end, with October looking like the next step. But Chair Powell was careful not to pre-commit. His language kept the b

After disappointing entry into 2025, GDP delivered expected improvement as headline figure posted mild 0.7% y/y increase in 2Q25, where detailed breakdown revealed more favorable domestic demand performance, especially on the private consumption side, while strong negative contribution came from the

The Dollar Index failed to sustain its rise past 98 and while below it, the index can be vulnerable to fall towards 97 or even 96. The Euro is moving higher within the 1.16-1.18 range. EURINR is headed towards the resistance near 104. EURJPY and USDJPY can hold the immediate ranges of 172-174 and 14

And PPI coming in negative means that S&P 500 swing clients were positioned correctly for more ES gains, and bond market decline yesterday was more a function of less bad than feared NFPs revisions than pre-PPI caution (precious metals also moved as per expectation. Share: Analysis feed

Since the start of the week US stock markets seem to have regained some confidence as Nasdaq, S&P 500 and Dow Jones are on the rise. On a fundamental level, the weak August US employment report and the market’s expectations for the Fed tend to provide support for US stock markets, while the rele