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The dollar has turned a little softer today after the US Congress failed to reach a deal to avoid a government shutdown. Investors are fearful that this could be a longer shutdown, which will only weigh further on consumer confidence and job security. We continue to favour some modest further gains

In focus today Focus shifts to flash September inflation data from France, Germany and Italy. The core inflation measure will be key, particularly after Spain's data yesterday showed weaker-than-expected core inflation despite a rise in headline inflation. Large base effects from energy prices and t

The market has been running on the high-octane fuel of expected rate cuts. That belief was the engine behind Monday’s record highs, powering indexes as if the road ahead were wide open. But by midweek, the gears began to grind. Powell tossed sand into the machinery when he remarked that valuations l

General trend and developments - Equities, yields, commodities and currencies mostly flat (USD slightly weak) in a session lacking any notable drivers ahead of US Core PCE on Friday. - Japan Aug PPI Services softer than expected, with prior also revised down by a notable amount. Nevertheless, former

I don’t usually write critical bits on the Fed, but it’s getting a bit obvious that politics is slipping into the picture. And I’m not talking about gimmicks like turning off the escalator when Trump arrives for a visit or short-circuiting his teleprompter. What’s creeping in is more subtle — a sens

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee broke away from the overarching narrative of consecutive Fed rate cuts heading through the end of the year, widening the narrative gap between Fed incumbents and Donald Trump's newly-minted Fed plant Stephen Miran. Key highlights Goolsb

Gold traded around 3,760 USD per ounce on Wednesday, hovering near the record high established the previous day. The market continued to digest commentary from Federal Reserve officials, including Chair Jerome Powell. Powell acknowledged the Fed's challenging position, citing a combination of accele