GordonPiskS
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Germany: Fiscal scorecard – Standard Chartered
2025 and 2026 budgets underscore the government’s infrastructure and defence ambitions. Recent data on construction and investment signal tentative benefits from fiscal stimulus. Trade pressures create short-term headwinds; red tape, skills shortages could undermine fiscal stimulus. Demographics, tr
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Gold market: When portfolios meet the fault lines
Gold has always been the first refuge when the ground under markets begins to split. Investors can spend months parsing central bank speeches and bond yield curves, but the real fractures often appear in the places policymakers can’t plaster over—supply chains, energy flows, and political choke poin
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Gold steals the spotlight as Washington’s clock ticks
The market opened the week with a burst of confidence—screens flickered higher, futures pointed north—but by the close, the early optimism had drained away. Stocks finished in the green, though only marginally, with traders more preoccupied by the sound of Washington’s fiscal clock than the glow of
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GBP/USD mở rộng vào đà phục hồi tăng giá trong hai ngày khi 1,34 giữ vững
GBP/USD đã tăng hơn 0,2% vào thứ Hai, lấy lại những khoản lỗ gần đây.Luồng tiền vào đồng bạc xanh không thích rủi ro đã nới lỏng sự kiểm soát của chúng hơn nữa để bắt đầu tuần mới.Mặc dù căng thẳng thị trường trong ngắn hạn đã giảm, nhưng một cuộc đóng cửa chính phủ Mỹ vẫn đang rình rập. GBP/USD đã
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GBP/USD extends into a two-day bullish recovery as 1.34 holds
GBP/USD gained a little over 0.2% on Monday, clawing back recent losses.Risk-off Greenback flows loosened their grip further to start the new week.Despite a near-term cooling of market tensions, a US government shutdown still looms. GBP/USD clawed its way into a second consecutive winning market ses
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China's NBS Manufacturing PMI rises to 49.8 in September, Non-Manufacturing PMI falls to 50
China’s official Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 49.8 in September, following August’s 49.4. The reading came in above the market consensus of 49.6 in the reported month. The NBS Non-Manufacturing PMI fell to 50 in September versus August’s 50.3 figure and missed the expectati
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China’s RatingDog Manufacturing PMI climbs to 51.2 in September, Services PMI drops to 52.9
China's RatingDog Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 51.2 in September from 50.5 in August, the latest data published by RatingDog showed on Tuesday. The market forecast was for a 50.3 print. China's Services PMI dropped slightly to 52.9 in September from 53 in August. The data c
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USD/CAD remains above 1.3900 as traders adopt caution amid US government shutdown risks
USD/CAD stays muted as the US government is nearing a funding freeze and possible shutdown.President Trump warned of widespread federal job losses if Congress does not pass a funding bill.Statistics Canada revised July GDP growth to 0.2% and reported no change in August, helping ease concerns of an
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Bank of Japan "Summary of Opinions" from the September meeting
Following are the key takeaways from the Bank of Japan (BOJ) "Summary of Opinions" from the September meeting, One member said the BoJ should continue raising rates if the economy and prices move in line with forecasts. One member said there is no change to the view that Japan’s economy will slow te
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NZD/USD sticks to modest gains after mixed Chinese PMIs, remains below 0.5800
NZD/USD trades with a positive bias for the third straight day amid subdued USD demand.Fed rate cut bets and concerns about the US government shutdown undermine the buck.Mixed Chinese PMIs fail to provide any impetus to antipodean currencies, including the Kiwi. The NZD/USD pair trims a part of its
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Shutdown roulette: Markets face blindfolded pilots and skittish passengers
Washington has taken the markets into the casino and shoved a pile of chips on the “shutdown” square, daring the croupier to spin the wheel. With the clock running down to Oct. 1, the baseline scenario is a three-week pause in government operations—a disruption that may look temporary on the GDP sco
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Light Crude Oil (CL) Elliott Wave outlook points to lower prices [Video]
The short-term Elliott Wave structure in crude oil indicates a downward cycle from the June 23, 2025, high, unfolding as a five-wave impulse. Wave 1 concluded at $61.45, and wave 2 rallied to $66.42, as shown on the 1-hour chart. Wave 2 developed as a regular flat structure. From wave 1’s low, wave
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China’s factory pulse flickers, but the services engine stalls
The September PMI reads from China offered a picture that looked less like a coherent growth engine and more like a car with one cylinder firing while another misfires. Manufacturing, long stuck in the slow lane, finally edged its way back up the hill—climbing to 49.8, a six-month high, though still
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USD không chú ý đến chỉ số CPI Tokyo giảm với sự tập trung vào chênh lệch và dữ liệu PCE của Mỹ – Scotiabank
Yên Nhật (JPY) đang giao dịch một cách thận trọng trong môi trường đồng USD mạnh mẽ, các Chiến lược gia FX hàng đầu của Scotiabank, Shaun Osborne và Eric Theoret báo cáo. JPY giữ vững trong ngày "Rủi ro đang ở mức cao trước khi công bố PCE của Mỹ, khi triển vọng chính sách ngân hàng trung ương tương
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Việc khôi phục giao hàng dầu từ Kurdistan Iraq được cho là sắp xảy ra - Commerzbank
Các mối quan ngại rằng Mỹ có thể cứng rắn hơn trong lập trường chống lại Nga đã đẩy giá dầu trở lại mức cao nhất trong phạm vi giao dịch đã tồn tại trong hai tháng, nhà phân tích hàng hóa của Commerzbank, Barbara Lambrecht lưu ý. Giá dầu gần mức cao nhất trong hai tháng do lo ngại địa chính trị "Tro
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