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USD/CNH: Heavy bias on the daily chart – OCBC
USD/CNH has extended its decline, breaking below 7.12 this morning to trade its weakest level since Nov-2024. Pair was at 7.1312 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note. Daily momentum is turning bearish "The move reflects a confluence of drivers including persistent stre
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GBP/USD pares gains as markets weigh rate cut bets
GBP/USD gave up most of its gains from late last week.Cable continues to grind it out near key moving averages.Markets are hunkering down for a long wait to key US inflation figures later this week. GBP/USD backslid on Monday, falling back into the 1.3450 region after global markets reconsidered the
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NZD/USD: May not be able to break clearly above 0.6000 – UOB Group
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) could rise further, but it may not be able to break clearly above 0.6000. In the longer run, momentum continues to suggest a higher NZD; it must first close above 0.6000 before further advances are likely, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note. Momentum
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Will impact of tariffs now show up in US CPI? UK unemployment still elevated
EU Mid-Market Update: Will impact of tariffs now show up in US CPI? UK unemployment still elevated; EU leaders speak up before Trump/Putin meeting; 10-year JGB was untraded. Notes/observations - Europe tracks Asia steadily higher as US futures are mixed. Seasonality of Aug playing its part. Waiting
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Tariffs, Gold, chips, and inflation
Trump extended the tariff truce with China, which was set to expire today, by 90 more days, announced that gold will finally not be tariffed, and confirmed that Nvidia and AMD will pay the US government a 15% cut of their Chinese sales. One emerging issue is that China doesn’t want companies to buy
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EUR/CAD Price Forecast: Wobbles above 1.6000 ahead of Eurozone ZEW Survey data
EUR/CAD trades sideways around 1.6020 ahead of the Eurozone ZEW Survey – Economic Sentiment data for August.Growing Canadian labor market concerns have increased BoC’s interest rate cut expectations.The overall trend of the EUR/CAD pair remains bullish as 20-period EMA slopes higher. The EUR/CAD pai
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Fed’s Bowman: Latest jobs data stiffens support for three rate cuts this year
Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Michelle Bowman said on Saturday that the latest weak labor market data underscores her concerns about labor market fragility and strengthens her confidence in her own forecast that three interest rate cuts will likely be appropriate this year. Key quote The apparent w
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One more and done for Banxico?
Summary Banxico's August meeting was rather uneventful as most actions taken by Mexico's central bank were largely anticipated. Local economic and market trends suggest Banxico has space for additional easing in September, policy space that is also supported by a Federal Reserve that is likely to lo
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EUR/USD: Euro remains stable near 1,1650 with sell on peaks strategy still in play
The single European currency remains near 1.1650 level in a narrow trading range on the last day of the week as investors try to assess President Donald Trump's policy on imposing tariffs, which is extremely difficult with the landscape remaining extremely cloudy. The dust from the disappointing US
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