Analysis: Gold (XAU/USD)

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Gold Maintains Stability on Tuesday, Anticipating US Inflation Signals Amidst Speculation of Rate Cuts


*Previous Week*

• On Thursday, gold made highs of 2047.95, however, minor correction was witnessed from highs and gold ended the trading day at 2031.21.

• On Friday, Gold made further corrections and ended the week near 2020 levels. 

*Current Week*

• On Monday, the price consolidated in a choppy fashion and seems to be creating a symmetrical triangle pattern. And the prices are hovering at the lower trend line of the triangle

• US Dollar fell substantially the previous week after the dovish Fed pivot, which drove gold towards higher levels. Investors often turn to gold as a hedge against currency depreciation.

• On Tuesday, BoJ announced its interest rate decision -> kept interest rate negative -> provide minor strength to USD -> further weaken gold

• However, gold prices initiate an upward bounce due to favorable technical factors.

• Furthermore, bullish sentiments favoring gold receive support from geopolitical risks and concerns regarding an economic slowdown in China.


*Current Situation*

• The price on Tuesday consolidates in a choppy manner, appears to be moving in a symmetrical triangle pattern.

• Currently, prices are hovering around the lower trend line of the triangle, with further weakness in prices near the 2024 mark.


*Technical Indicators:*

• Gold is currently trending in a buying zone as per technical indicators, which signals further bullishness.

• Gold on Monday hovers above the middle band of the Bollinger Band as visible on the attached H4 chart.

• The CCI levels also hover in the buying zone near 18.70 levels.


*Projection:*

• Gold looks uncertain, take your trades very cautiously. 

• The choppy movement will continue till the US session, in which important Building Permits data will be released

*Important Levels to Watch*

*It is noteworthy that our previously given levels during late November are still respected by the gold prices – as visible on the attached chart of Gold*

• Resistance: 2033.72 
• Support: 2014.35

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Analysis: Gold (XAU/USD)

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