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Two economists who are figuring in prominently for vacancies at the Federal Reserve said Tuesday they don't believe tariffs cause inflation, a view that would be in line with President Donald Trump's desire for the central bank to cut interest rates. In separate CNBC interviews, Stephen Miran and Ja

Oil rose about 1.3% on Monday to $63.5 per barrel of WTI after falling 11% over the previous seven trading days. The decline was the market's reaction to weak US labour market data, which forced a downward revision of demand forecasts, and the almost simultaneous increase in OPEC+ quotas, with deman

On the radar Romania’s central bank kept policy rate at 6.50% on Friday. Trade balance for June was published at EUR -2.3bn in Romania. At 10.30 AM CET Slovenia will release industrial output growth for June. There are no other releases scheduled for today. Economic developments We begin the week by

USD net short positions have increased for the first time in four weeks, driven by a decrease in long positions. EUR net long positions have decreased for the second week in a row, driven by an increase in short positions. GBP net positions have turned net short for the first time in 22 weeks, drive

Summar Employment cost growth rose 0.9% in the second quarter and 3.6% over the past year. Costs for wages & salaries rose 1.0% over the quarter with broad-based strength, but the rise was not enough to buck the slower trend over the past year. Overall compensation growth is more or less consist

The Euro (EUR) is up a modest 0.3% against the US Dollar (USD) and outperforming most of the G10 currencies as we head into Thursday’s NA session, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report. Latest pullback is showing some signs of stabilization "The euro area unemployme

The EURUSD favors upside in 3 swings from September-2022 low & should extend towards 1.1929 or higher against 1.13.2025 low. In 4-hour, it favors double correction lower from 7.01.2025 high to correct 5.12.2025 low. It favors short term pullback in to 1.1512 – 1.1340 area in 7 swing pullbacks be

As we’ve learned from Trump, if you repeat a lie often enough, a good number of people will come to believe it. That phenomenon gets amplified, however, when the media fail to call out the lie. With some lies, the media divides. For instance, thankfully, we still have media organizations that push b

Gold awaits key US data as traders weigh economic performance and Fed outlook.Improved risk sentiment on EU-US trade progress puts pressure on Gold.XAU/USD loses grip on breakout, $3,372 turns into resistance ahead of key data. Gold is extending losses for a second straight session on Thursday, pres

The Dollar Index has declined further within its 99-96 range but we maintain our bullish bias towards 101. The Euro and EURINR tested 1.17 and 101 respectively. Even if the rise extends further, it can be limited to 1.18 and 102 respectively. EURJPY above 172 has a scope to rise towards 175 in the n