Hi everyone, Below a quick summary Pre-FOMC (26th january 2022) What are the probabilities of a rate hike? Probabilities recently plummeted... to 95% waiting for basically nothing new. 1... Allowing the US market to bounce back on 4200 support area (ES future - S&P500) The market is testing the

Followme FOMC Challenge 🚨 FOMC Forecast Challenge: Predict & Win 50 FCOIN! 🚨 The Federal Reserve’s next interest rate decision is imminent. In March, the Fed maintained rates at 4.25%–4.50% . With inflation easing to 2.4% and unemployment steady at 4.2% , the economic landsca

Followme Tantangan FOMC 🚨 Tantangan Prediksi FOMC: Tebak & Menangkan 50 FCOIN! 🚨 Keputusan suku bunga berikutnya dari Federal Reserve sudah semakin dekat. Pada bulan Maret, The Fed mempertahankan suku bunga di 4,25%–4,50%. Dengan inflasi yang melandai menjadi 2,4% dan tingkat penganggura

FOMC Preview: Will the Fed Hold or Hike? The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on May 6-7, 2025, is looming, and traders are on edge. With the Fed expected to hold the federal funds rate at 4.25%–4.50%, the real action will come from Chair Jerome Powell&r

Pratinjau FOMC: Akankah The Fed Menahan atau Naikkan Suku Bunga? Rapat Komite Pasar Terbuka Federal (FOMC) pada 6-7 Mei 2025 semakin dekat, dan para trader mulai tegang. The Fed diperkirakan akan mempertahankan suku bunga dana federal di 4,25%–4,50%, namun aksi sesungguhnya akan datang

1. 对于当前市场而言50BP市场已经完全消化;5月CPI8.6之后,通胀见顶论不攻自破, 市场集中交易突如其来的75BP预期,但当前部分有所消化,无论哪一个决定都改变不了FED治理通胀的决心. 也就是鹰派态度可能会持续或强化 2. 重要的看点在于本次会议会公布点阵图,以及经济数据的展望(包含通胀数据和GDP数据),这对于捕捉FED对经济表现的信心也是至关重要,以及未来是否有衰退或放缓. 3. 当前各期限的收益率,无论是短端还是中长端, 自上周五CPI数据之后都出现了大幅度飙升, 背后计价的是FED的紧缩路径步伐加快,期限结构上中长端(5Y以上的利率)倒挂持续,但市场青睐的衰退指标US10-2

The Bank raised interest rates by a quarter percentage point (first since 2018) and signalled hikes at all six remaining meetings this year . Policy makers led by Chair Jerome Powell voted 8-1 to lift their key, hawkish member Bullard dissented in favour of a half-point hike. "INFLATION": We are att