Today's US CPI report for February 2026 showed inflation holding steady at 2.4% annually and 0.3% monthly, in line with forecasts. Core CPI matched expectations at 2.5% annual, signaling progress toward the Fed's 2% target but no urgency for cuts. This data, released amid the US-Israel-Iran war's ea

Oil markets have been in freefall chaos over the past 48 hours, with prices surging at a pace rarely seen outside major crises. What started as steady upward pressure has turned into a full-blown spike, sending shockwaves through global economies and energy-dependent industries. WTI crude jumped mor

Current spot is around 157.87, showing resilience amid dollar strength. The pair's trajectory will depend on whether NFP beats or misses the 70K consensus, interacting with broader factors like Fed policy, BoJ dovishness, and ongoing geopolitical tensions. Economic drivers include US yields and labo

March 2026 arrives amid heightened uncertainty from the US-Israel-Iran war. This conflict, erupting late February, drives risk aversion and commodity spikes, clashing with central bank decisions like the Fed's March 17-18 meeting. Expect choppy trading, with safe-havens thriving while energy surges

The US-Israel-Iran war officially ignited on February 28, 2026, with massive airstrikes killing Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and escalating into ongoing attacks across Tehran and Gulf states. As of March 1, 2026, Iran retaliated with strikes on US assets in Dubai, Doha, and Manama, p

The U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for January 2026 landed just minutes ago on February 11, delivering a clear beat on expectations. Total nonfarm payrolls rose by 130,000, well above the consensus forecast of 70,000 and a sharp improvement from December's downwardly revised 48,000 gain. The une

The U.S. dollar is under serious pressure in February 2026, sliding to its weakest levels in months. After holding firm through much of 2025, the greenback now faces a powerful combination of Fed pivot expectations, softening U.S. data, and renewed yen carry unwinds. This month is shaping up as one

February 2026 looks set for mixed moves amid Fed pauses, geopolitical jitters, and shifting yields. The U.S. dollar holds firm on resilient growth, but risks loom from tariffs and elections. Overall, I favor safe-havens like gold while eyeing volatility in energy and crypto. Global factors will domi

The Federal Reserve's first meeting of 2026, held January 27-28, ended with no change to interest rates. The federal funds rate remains at 3.5% to 3.75%, marking a pause after three consecutive cuts in late 2025. This decision reflects a resilient U.S. economy, with solid growth and stabilizing jobs

As we close out 2025 with markets in flux, I'm channeling my 15+ years as a pro trader to forecast 2026's wild ride. Trump's policies, Fed pauses, and global tensions will dominate, creating winners in safe-havens and losers in energy. Expect volatility spikes mid-year, but trends favor dollar stren

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On December 10, 2025, the Federal Reserve delivered its anticipated holiday gift to markets—a 25 basis point rate cut, trimming the federal funds target to 3.50%-3.75%. This marks the third consecutive easing move in 2025, signaling confidence in cooling inflation but wariness over persistent pressu

On December 10, 2025, the Federal Reserve delivered its anticipated holiday gift to markets—a 25 basis point rate cut, trimming the federal funds target to 3.50%-3.75%. This marks the third consecutive easing move in 2025, signaling confidence in cooling inflation but wariness over persistent pressu