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USD/CAD hovers below 1.3800 amid improved Oil prices ahead of US inflation data
USD/CAD may struggle as the commodity-linked CAD receives support from improved Oil prices.Oil prices rose on improved market sentiment after the Trump administration postponed implementing tariffs on China.The CAD may come under pressure as odds of a BoC rate cut strengthen, following Canada’s rece
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USD consolidates, focus on US inflation data – Scotiabank
FX trading is relatively subdued. There are no major data reports from the US or Canada this morning but the week ahead delivers updates on US CPI, PPI, Import Prices and Retail Sales, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report. USD trade mixed to slightly firmer ahead o
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Trappy SPX pump?
S&P 500 overcame solid intraday resistance, and the key question to answer is whether the market breadth improvement (and sectoral overview) was good enough to last. Would or would not the dollar get in the way? Today, we have services PMI as the most important data point, and S&P 500 is act

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Fed, Tibet, and currencies
Fed The Powell Fed has a consistent history of delivering dovish surprises, but that changed in 2025. You can see the mega skew and change in reaction function here: S&P performance has been more mixed. You can see that during the downtrend in 2022, the market squeezed on FOMC day, but during th

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GBP recoverys post CPI/jobs data with fundamental support via spreads – Scotiabank
The Pound Sterling (GBP) is up a modest 0.2% against US Dollar (USD) as it mildly underperforms its G10 peers heading into Friday’s NA open, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note. GBP is up on the daily charts "The GBP’s latest gains are offering some reassurance foll
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The $4-trillion Nvidia
The tariff-reveal letters kept coming in yesterday — in alphabetical order — and they didn’t look enchanting, to say the least. Exports from Algeria, Libya, Iraq, and Sri Lanka will be subject to 30% levies. Brunei and Moldovan exporters will pay 25%, while Brazilian exports will be hit with a hefty
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AUD/USD eyes breakout as RBA holds rates steady
AUDUSD recoups some losses. Immediate resistance from 61.8% Fibo. RSI and stochastics suggest upside recovery. AUDUSD is gaining ground following the RBA’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged at 3.85%, defying market expectations. The pair is once again testing the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement

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Tariffs, inflation, debt risks loom – Markets don't blink [Video]
Markets are brushing off 25–40% tariffs like they’re just minor annoyances. But the US is back to tariff warfare, inflation is knocking, repatriation risks from Japan are rising — and yet, equities barely flinch. The S&P 500 is near ATH levels, the Nikkei rebounds, and the Stoxx 600 marches on.
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